Submitted by christian on Mon, 05/29/2023 - 15:32
Scenario 1: Russia could test nuclear weapons as a warning to Ukraine and its supporters, demonstrating both its resolve and capability. A nuclear demonstration would not tilt the balance in favor of either side. The efficacy of even Russia’s most advanced nuclear weapons is likely already known to relevant Western governments, and a test likely would not incentivize Ukraine to capitulate because Kyiv already feels that the conflict is existential.
