PUTIN’S THEORY OF VICTORY

Putin's theory of victory is that he can outlast everybody. Throughout the war in Ukraine, however, Russia has maintained a singular objective. The objective Putin seeks is the subjugation of the Ukrainian people, and the extinguishment of their sovereignty.

THE KREMLIN’S CALCULATIONS IN ITS GAS WAR WITH EUROPE

What we are seeing now is a Moscow-orchestrated effort to reduce the supply of Russian gas to Europe as part of the broader geoeconomic standoff between Moscow and the West.

MANAGING RUSSIAN GAS SUPPLY AND RATIONING POWER

European countries are putting plans in place to manage gas supply and even ration power in case Russian gas flows stop completely or a planned outage at the Nord Stream 1 pipeline is extended.

The European Union has rules to prevent and respond to a disruption in gas supplies. It sets out three levels of crisis: an early warning, alert and emergency.

ROOT CAUSES FOR THE LOW MORALE IN THE RUSSIAN ARMY

  1. Moscow’s assault on Ukraine is broadly opposed by rank-and-file soldiers. Just 10 percent of Russian soldiers support the war, with the remainder fearing to speak out. Those who are against the war are afraid of the consequences of leaving
  2. There is a culture and resentment in the Russian army that tears down the façade of total support for the war portrayed in the Russian propaganda.

SEA RISE LEVELS AND EUROPEAN COUNTRIES AT RISK

  1. Belgium
  2. Bulgaria
  3. Croatia
  4. Denmark (inc. Greenland, Faeroes)
  5. Estonia
  6. Finland
  7. Germany
  8. France (incl. Caribbean Islands, Indian Ocean Islands, Polynesia Micronesia Islands, New Caledonian Islands)
  9. Greece
  10. Ireland
  11. Italy
  12. Latvia
  13. Lithuania
  14. Netherlands
  15. Poland
  16. Malta
  17. Portugal
  18. Romania
  19. Slovenia
  20. Spain
  21. Sweden

THE COSSACKS OF UKRAINE

Cossack is derived from the Turkic word for free man. They were  defiant, resistant and independent. In the 1600s, the Ukrainian Cossacks were able to establish some of the earliest versions of a Ukrainian state. The Cossacks weren't just some homogenous, heroic group of freedom fighters; they could be quite brutal. They also carried out massacres of Jews in the region in the 17th century. Yet today, for many Ukrainians, the Cossacks represent resistance to outside control.

RUSSIAN ANTI-WESTERN RHETORIC

Key messages and tactics of Russian propaganda

RUSSIA'S ETNIC GROUPS

La fédération de Russie est un état pluri-ethnique avec environ 170 groupes ethniques

Indo-Européens (16) 84,07% of total

  1. Russes
  2. Ukrainiens
  3. Arméniens
  4. Biélorusses
  5. Allemands
  6. Ossètes
  7. Roms
  8. Moldaves
  9. Tadjiks
  10. Grecs
  11. Polonais
  12. Iraniens
  13. Lithuaniens
  14. Bulgares
  15. Lettons
  16. Tats

Peuples turcs (22) 8,36% of total

TRACKING INFLUENCERS IN THE NEWS IN AUGUST 2022

Alliance for Regenerative Medicine: The Alliance for Regenerative Medicine’s board appointed Timothy D. Hunt as its new CEO. He was previously at formerly of Xilio Therapeutics and succeeds Janet Lynch Lambert

Alliance for Safe Online Pharmacy in the EU: Stefan Feltens, president of the European Association of E-Pharmacies joins the Alliance as a co-directors

ELECTRICITY PRICES

2022- 27 August

€/MWh

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