LE CIRQUE POLITIQUE FRANCAIS

Source: Michel Garroté, Politologue, Bloggueur

THE FRENCH OLIGARCHY AND MACRON

They support MACRON

VOTING INTENTION AVERAGES ON 7 MAY FRENCH ELECTIONS

  1. On average 39.33% of Melanchon supporters claim they will abstain. 39.33% of 19.58% (score of Melanchon on the first round) is 7.66%
  2. On average 30.67% of Fillon supporters claim they will abstain. 30.67% of 20.01% (score of Fillon on first round) is 6.14%
  3. On average 24.33% of Hammon supporters claim they will abstain. 24.33% of 6.36% (score of Hammon on first round) is 1.55%
  4. On average 31% of Dupont Aignan supporters claim they will abstain. 31% of 4.7% (score of Dupont Aignan on first round) is 1.46%

ST. PETERSBURG INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC FORUM PROGRAMME June 1-3, 2017,

  1. B20 International Trade and Investment Forum
  2. World Festival of Youth and Students Session

Dynamics of the Global Economy (23 Topics)

ANTICIPATING A LE PEN WIN

Le Pen’s first act on the international scene would be to travel to Brussels and hand a letter to European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker and European Council President Donald Tusk outlining French ‘demands’ for EU reform i.e. return of territorial borders; monetary and budgetary; economic; and legislative sovereignty.

Le Pen foresees a period of talks with the EU before she holds a referendum on membership after the Italian election or sometime in late 2018.

LOBBYING UNDER THE EU TRANSPARENCY REGISTER

Lobbying is defined broadly as all activities carried out with the objective of directly or indirectly influencing either the formulation or implementation of policy and the decision-making processes of the EU institutions.

1. Direct Influencing

WHEN LEGAL ADVICE IS NOT LOBBYING

Legal advice is excluded from the definition of lobbying, as stated in the first part of Article 10 of the Inter Institutional Agreement (IIA)

1. Legal Advice not intended to influence the EU institutions or legislative process

Legal advice is not lobbying when the intended recipient of the advice is the client. Legal advice includes:

VOTES IN FRANCE ARE NOT CAST YET

People already think this is Macron’s race to lose, that he is the inevitable winner, that the French will rally to stop Le Pen. But today across France there are millions of French who are depressed and dejected that their candidate is out. Even though the three major party candidates who were defeated have endorsed for Macron it may mean little to their supporters. For leftists and union members Macron will be a hard sell. They may decide not to vote. That Macron is up 20 points in the polls may lead to complacency and apathy. People will think there’s no way Le Pen can win.

LES MACRONISTES OU LE SOIT-DISANT RENOUVEAU

Emmanuel Macron, c’est une convergence où se retrouvent des libéraux, des socialistes revenus des dogmes marxistes mais pas du galimatias relativiste, des centristes qui, comme tous les centristes du monde, adoptent l’attitude du chien crevé au fil de l’eau et dérivent dans une direction ou une autre selon le sens du vent et l’air du temps.

PROGRAMME MACRON= HOLLANDE SAISON 2

Le programme d’Emmanuel Macron est très proche de celui de François Hollande en 2012. Près de 40% de ses propositions sont des copier-coller ou des prolongements des promesses de campagne formulées par le Président Hollande il y a cinq ans. On y retrouve aussi bien des engagements brisés (sanctuarisation du budget de la culture, rénovation thermique, réduction des délais sur les procédures d’asile, etc.) que des chantiers lancés pendant le quinquennat (généralisation du très haut débit, baisse du coût du travail, formation des chômeurs, construction de places de prison etc..).

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